Browsing the archives for the Analysis category.

In a topsy-turvy election, vice becomes virtue

Analysis, Election 2008

 

This election is groundbreaking and historic. We are all well aware of the obvious reasons for this–first black presidential candidate, first female VP on the Republican ticket–but there are others. And some of the reasons are less cause for celebration than for caution.  For one, this election marks the moment when cynicism and fear came to be viewed as virtues. 

 

It used to be that those who made decisions based on the worst of reasons–fear, bigotry, ignorance–kept their voices low and spoke of their opinions only within the familiar walls of their own living rooms. The intrinsic sense of shame that accompanies certain statements–namely, uninformed, unfounded, hateful statements–prevented those who made them from publicly declaring them. People seemed to understand the general idea that, if someone challenges your opinions or beliefs, it’s best to have facts and rational thought to back you up. Contrarily, it’s a bit hard to defend yourself when you rely mainly on fear of the “other,” incendiary rumors, or false information. So those with the least-defensible, most ill-begotten opinions most often kept quiet, not because others demanded that of them, but because of a very basic instinct: fear of embarrassment.

 

Yet this election seems to have encouraged many to wear their fear, bigotry, and ignorance like so many badges of pride. Sentiments that were once whispered or circulated only among the closest and most like-minded of friends and family are now outrightly and confidently stated in public. There has emerged a noticeable sense of impunity and righteousness among people who put forth opinions regardless of their truth, fairness, or rational basis. Sadly, we have seen numerous instances during this election in which ignorance has been not only tolerated, but outright supported and encouraged. 

McCain-Palin Rally in Ohio

To be sure, we have seen ignorant and ridiculous comments from all sides during this and past elections. But this phenomenon is happening on a scale that most certainly has not been seen before. This is not one or two people from the fringes who have happened to get in front of a camera. This is a trend that has emerged with a particularly alarming virulence in the course of this election.

McCain-Palin rally in Pennsylvania 

It should be obvious that I am not implying that all who do not support Barack Obama share the sentiments of these people. I am aware and respectful of the fact that people have well-informed, rational, fair reasons for choosing not to support the democratic nominee for president. The people in these videos don’t speak for most Americans. I acknowledge that.

 

But that does not mean that we should pretend not to notice when groups of people become more and more comfortable making false, ignorant claims, designed to fan flames of fear, in public. Brazen statements devoid of substance and fact are not impressive or courageous; those who offer them should not be encouraged. 

 

We should all–each of us–examine our own ideas about virtue and vice. What is really deserving of our cheers, hurrahs, and email forwarding button? Statements like those in the videos here? Surely not. Though it seems that increasing numbers of Americans would have us believe otherwise, it is not a virtue to be ignorant, in this election or ever.

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Do you really want to go there, Senator McCain?

Analysis, Election 2008, Political News, Welcome & Info

If two teams in a competition follow different rules, I’m not sure that anyone can win. Even if there can somehow be a victor, it is bound to be a messy, maddening affair.

This is what is happening with twenty-odd days to go before the presidential election. The McCain campaign seems to have created one set of rules for John McCain, and another for Barack Obama. Here’s how.

McCain Rule #1: You are responsible and may be implicated for every action ever taken by anyone you have ever served on a board or committee with

The McCain campaign announced their new rules with one name: Ayers.

As messenger, Republican Vice Presidential nominee Sarah Palin has delivered dozens of speeches in which she uses Bill Ayers to raise questions not only about Barack Obama’s motives, but about who the democratic nominee for president even is.

The argument from McCain and Palin goes as follows: Barack Obama and Bill Ayers served on the same board for the Chicago Annenberg Challenge. Also, Ayers, thirty years after ceasing his despicable ways, and many years into his post as a professor at a respected university, hosted a fundraising meeting for Obama toward the beginning of Obama’s political career. Thus, according to the McCain-Palin logic, Obama is “palling around with domestic terrorists” and can’t be trusted.

The major logical flaw here is this: The Annenberg Challenge was a non-profit organization whose goal was to promote public school reform in Chicago. Its parent organization was founded by a woman named Leonore Annenberg. Leonore Annenberg is a vocal supporter of Senator John McCain.

So, just to make the irony and the connection clear: a prominent endorser of Senator McCain created the education foundation that had Barack Obama and Bill Ayers (as well as a number of Republicans) on one of its boards. Were the number of Republicans on that board, and is Leonore Annenberg herself, “palling around” with Bill Ayers, too? Or is Barack Obama the only one who is guilty by association?

There’s also the very troubling issue of a few of John McCain’s past associations. There’s McCain’s “old friend” Gordon Libby, a felon who spend years in federal prison for his part in Watergate. There’s McCain’s associate Ralph Reed, a key figure in the Abrahmoff scandal. There’s McCain’s associate Carl Lindner, Jr., a man who gave approximately $1.7 million dollars to a paramilitary group that is now designated a terrorist organization by the U.S. government. By McCain’s Rule #1, we should question and doubt John McCain for each of these shady associations. Because he knows and has worked with these people, he should be held responsible for their actions.

Doesn’t John McCain see that, if a candidate is not only judged by but inextricably linked to anyone who has ever hosted a campaign event or provided major political support for him, then that leaves McCain himself linked to a convicted felon, a figure in one of the highest-profile political scandals of the decade, and a supporter of terrorism?

McCain Rule #2, as recently adopted by his staunch supporters: If anyone you have ever associated with has unsavory, despicable characteristics, then you yourself share these unsavory despicable characteristics

McCain’s Rule #2 has been applied most liberally to Obama’s associations with Ayers and his former pastor Jeremiah Wright. To be clear, Ayers’ stupid, unpatriotic actions should be denounced; this is obvious, and Obama has said so on a number of occasions. Similarly, Jeremiah Wright should be called a fool for his anti-American rants and offensive, hyperbolic rhetoric. Again, Obama has fully separated himself from Wright, and from every anti-American comment this man ever made (even those he made when Obama wasn’t even in the congregation).

Yet this rule requires us to further abandon reason, and believe not only that Obama is guilty by association, but that he actually shares the same characteristics and opinions as any unsavory person he has ever been associated with. McCain’s Rule #2, in spite of being illogical and unfair, has clearly been embraced by some of his supporters, as evidenced by the shouts of “treason!” and “terrorist!” after Barack Obama’s name is mentioned at McCain and Palin rallies.

Did Sarah Palin need to renounce the pastor who made absurd accusations about an Alaskan woman and warned congregants about the dangers of witchcraft, while Palin herself was not only in attendance at the church, but called up on stage as a participant? Would John McCain assert that, because Sarah Palin sat in church and listened to this man, she herself must share his opinions?

We can also go back to McCain’s friend (McCain has called him that) Gordon Liddy. Liddy is most well-known for spending four years in prison for his involvement in the Watergate scandal, but his less-reported behavior is arguably the most troubling.

McCain’s friend Gordon Liddy has asserted that listening to recordings of Hitler’s speeches made him feel “a strength inside [he] had never known before.” Liddy proposed kidnapping anti-war activists during the 1972 Republican National Convention. His documented advice to Branch Dividian cult members about how to fight the law enforcement officers trying to stop them in Waco was: “Give them a firefight. Just remember, they’re wearing flak jackets and you’re better off shooting for the head.” Shooting for the head of members of the Bureau of Alcohol, Tobacco, and Firearms who were trying to protect innocent Americans. That certainly constitutes promoting violence against the government.

Has McCain renounced this Gordon Liddy for encouraging violence against the government, for his participation in Watergate, for his idolization of Adolf Hitler, or for his proposal to kidnap Americans exercising their right to free speech? He has not. In fact, McCain has called Liddy “an old friend,” and said to Liddy on his radio show recently, “I’m proud of you.” McCain has accepted $1000 in campaign donations from Gordon Liddy this year alone.

That should be bad enough, but McCain Rule #2 leads even further. McCain has applied this rule to Obama on a regular basis, so let’s see what happens if we apply it to McCain.

By McCain’s own rule, McCain not only “pals around with” convicted felons who in their past have plotted and incited violence against the U.S. government, McCain himself has plotted and incited violence against the U.S. government. By McCain’s own rule, because one of his associates wanted to shoot government officials in the head, so too does John McCain want to shoot government officials in the head. By McCain’s own rule, because he knows Liddy, McCain must sympathize with every past or present bad deed done by Liddy, and thus McCain must also draw strength from Adolf Hitler and advocate the kidnapping of dissenters. Treason! Terrorist!

Does the absurdity and unfairness of this argument make your skin crawl? It should.

McCain Rule #3: This rule does not apply to John McCain or Sarah Palin

Well, shoot. Never mind, then. Silly me, thinking that John McCain’s own rules should apply not only to his opponent, but to him as well.

I am the last person who will say that we shouldn’t ask questions of each other and of our leaders. We have every right to seek information and to hold our candidates accountable, and to keep pressing at those gnawing questions until we are satisfied. That is one of our responsibilities as voters.

Yet an equally important responsibility is to be fair enough to ask those questions of both sides, and to accept that some questions may not lead to the exact answer we were hoping for or that will help us make our case. I don’t maintain that every question Americans have asked about Barack Obama has led to answers that cast him in an ideal light. But for the sake of fairness and honesty, we should acknowledge that the same is true of many of the questions Americans have asked about John McCain.

In a divided and frustrated country during what is by all accounts a difficult era, I bet most of us can all still agree on a few things. Like when we set rules, the rules should count for all players in the game. When we set standards, it is only right to apply those standards to everyone equally, and to give honest due to the truth we find, whether is applies to friend or foe.

It may sound quaint, but I think these ideas go all the way back to pre-school for me. It was there that I learned a pledge–one we made every day, to our country, and to each other. That pledge is about the most fundamental elements of America, like one nation, indivisibility, and liberty. It ends with an idea that is as important now as it has ever been: justice.

Justice for all.

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Who won the VP debate? Depends on the meaning of “win.”

Analysis, Election 2008

Every standard under the sun

How do we judge victory in a debate?

Is the winner the candidate who comes across as most knowledgeable? Most likable? Most clever? Does it matter who is more truthful, or is it more about who puts on a better show? Do we need toughness and fire from our candidates before declaring them winners, or do we prefer that they exude respectfulness and statesmanlike calm?

Knowing us, the tough-to-please, want-it-all American populace, the answer is simple: all of the above.

There are two problems with this. First, we can’t have it all; we have to choose what really matters. Second, when we want so many different things out of a candidate, it’s easy to get swept away by “victories” that have little to do with leadership.

Poised and Fluent

By most accounts, in last Thursday’s debate, Sarah Palin stood her ground and avoided any major misstatements like those that hurt her in her major network interviews. But does this mean she won? 

In browsing the commentary by those who claimed a Palin victory in the debate, it seems that the most often cited arguments were that the Governor “spotlighted her winning personality” and showed “smiling confidence”*, that she “exceeded expectations” and was “much more likable than her opponent”**, and that she was “poised and fluent.”***

Let me emphasize that these quotes are from those who were making the case that Sarah Palin won. These were, truly, their strongest arguments for a Palin victory. This speaks to my point about people being swept away by things that arguably have very little to do with whether or not someone would make a good leader. To demonstrate, let’s take a look at those factors, as named by Palin supporters, that gained John McCain’s running mate a “victory” in the debate against Joe Biden. 

Victory in a debate is spotlighting your winning personality. Michael Barone of U.S. News and World Report named this as a main reason that Sarah Palin won the debate. This does make me wonder why we bother with the whole “debate” format, then. I had assumed that victory in a debate required, well, superior debating, not superior personality spotlighting.

Victory in a debate is showing smiling confidence. Smiling confidence (regardless of how justified or not that confidence is) is not a tough talent to master for most politicians (especially for a politician who worked her way up from the PTA to Governor). To have gotten from where she started to where she is today, Sarah Palin certainly had to muster a lot of smiles and a lot of confidence. Again, I don’t quite see the connection. Smiling confidence certainly made the VP candidate seem personable during the debate, but it didn’t allow her to speak with authority or detail about many of the most pressing issues Americans are facing right now.

Victory in a debate is exceeding expectations. Never has the idea of relativity been more applicable. I had an employee who once exceeded my expectations by working an entire shift without pitching a fit about anything. He exceeded expectations that day, but he was still the worst employee on the team.

Victory in a debate is being much more likable than your opponent. Needless to say, the likability of Joe Biden versus Sarah Palin on Thursday night is up for debate. American ideas of likability are as varied as we are. So it’s a good thing that’s not the point. The point is, do you really need a candidate who you can imagine having a beer with, or enjoying a cup of coffee with? That’s why you have friends. This isn’t a contest for homecoming court, it’s a contest for who gets to make decisions about the future of our country and the world.

Victory in a debate is being poised and fluent. Regarding poise, see above points about personality spotlighting and homecoming court. (If poise makes one a VP debate winner, my friend Colleen wins every Vice Presidential debate from now through eternity.) Regarding fluency, well, yes. I will have to grant the commentators this one point. We most certainly do want our Vice Presidential to be able to speak English. And if this is what determines victory in a debate between two candidates for Vice President of the United States, then I guess we have two things on our hands: a tie, and the lowest standards for leadership that this country has ever seen.

What Matters

Sure, in an ideal world, it would be nice to have likable, smiling leader who you not only trusted, respected, and felt confident in, but who you just plain liked. But by all rational criteria, smiles and poise are not reason enough to support a candidate. 

The purpose of a debate is for all participants to demonstrate with arguments and facts their superior understanding of the issues at hand, and to speak in specific terms as often as possible in order to demonstrate this understanding. Debates are about substance, not platitudes and emotional appeals.

It is up to the responsible, analytical observer to filter through the smiles and sound bytes to determine who truly respected the idea of a “debate,” and spoke to the American people in a real, specific way about what matters. 

View the full transcript of the debate here.

Sources:
*Michael Barone, U.S. News and World Report
**Andrea Tantaros, The Fox Forum
***Gerard Baker, Times Online
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Bailout 101: Why you need it, too

Analysis, Political News

The most common refrain I’ve heard lately from those who oppose the economic rescue plan is that “they got themselves into it, they can get themselves out of it” (to loosely quote a dear friend of mine).

It may be true for many people that “they,” others, created the mess. But, like it or not, every single one of us is now in the muck.

If “they” don’t get bailed out, neither do we. If “they” don’t get government help, people like me–who have never taken on a mortgage, do not have a car loan, did not make poor investments, and have “good debt” from student loans they have paid in full, on time, every month for years–will likely be affected just as much as the people who made bad, reckless choices.

Unfortunately, you can’t split the U.S. economy into two sectors: one for those who have been financially responsible and therefore shouldn’t have to pay for others’ mistakes, and one for those who were irresponsible and therefore deserve to suffer their particular consequences. There is one U.S. economy and it is in the middle of an implosion that, if not remedied, will certainly rival the Great Depression. And during the Great Depression, those who contributed to the economy’s crash and those who had never even been to a bank stood side by side in the bread lines. For years.

Because the government officials who developed the rescue plan have done such a poor job properly explaining it to the American people, the media seem to have taken up the cause. Thus we have the wonderfully educational video below, from the Today Show and CNBC’s Erin Burnett, my favorite economic tutor.

The first two-and-a-half minutes provide the simple version of some of the most indisputable, inescapable tenets of marco- and microeconomics. And no matter how loudly and how often you proclaim your innocence in this matter, your justified frustration at this mess, and your right to exemption from it, well…the tenets just won’t care.

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Failure in the House

Analysis, Political News

This Monday, two hundred and twenty-eight of the men and women we elected to represent our interests and govern in good conscience proved themselves wholly undeserving of our trust. Make no mistake: Monday, the day that the U.S. House of Representatives refused to pass an economic rescue bill, is a day that all of us will live to regret.

It is not a coincidence or a conspiracy that the Secretary of the Treasury, the leader of the Federal Reserve, the President, the Democratic nominee for president, the Republican nominee for president, and every reputable analyst who covers the financial markets has insisted that, however distasteful a bailout may be, it is absolutely necessary.

When ignorance meets politics

What many Americans seem not to understand is that this “bailout” isn’t designed to save stock brokers and CEOs. This bailout is designed to save the entire U.S. economy. Bailout or not, Wall Street is suffering and will continue to suffer for a long time. For every “golden parachute” we hear about, there are hundreds of mid-level financial employees who have lost their jobs, their retirement funds, and their life savings.

Further, “bailout” is a misnomer. The rescue bill was a very sophisticated version of any generic investment plan: buy low, sell high. The American people were going to buy into tanking mortgages and securities and, by many accounts, make a profit as the economy righted itself and the value of our investment began to rise again. We, through the government, would eventually sell our shares back, and all those billions of dollars would be back in government coffers. The American people would stand to gain a great deal from that surplus through tax breaks, infrastructure, and social programs.

Sadly, it appears that we will never get to see this payoff. Instead, we’ll see what happens when our elected leaders place the well-being of their political careers above the well-being of every person they represent.

They plan to win, right before we all lose

As noted in the Washington Post: “It’s no coincidence then that of the 205 Members who voted in support of the bill today, there are only two — Reps. Chris Shays (R-Conn.) and Jon Porter (R-Nev.) — who find themselves in difficult reelection races this fall. The list of the 228 “nays” reads like a virtual target list for the two parties.”

Virtually every politician whose seat isn’t hotly contested in an upcoming election voted in favor of the economic rescue bill. Could it be that, free from the shackles of political strategizing and vote-seeking, these representatives deferred to the economic experts and made the right, if unpopular, decision in casting their “yeas”?

Then there are the “nays.” Two hundred and twenty-eight of them, to be exact; the majority of them face tough battles for re-election and need all the votes they can get. Surely they had access to the same information and warnings as those with secure seats who voted for the bill. Yet they took positions that seemed to disregard information and ignore warnings.

The fact that the explanation for this discrepancy is easy to pinpoint makes it no less infuriating. The variable here is constituent opinion.

Though it is self-evident that the average American has, at the very best, a weak grasp of the economic solution devised by financial experts with decades of experience, this didn’t stop them from forming opinions on the matter. Most Americans strongly and vocally opposed the rescue plan, though the fervency of their opinions vastly outweighed the understanding behind them. (Of course, I don’t claim a perfectly clear understanding of the rescue plan either, but that’s why I defer to the consensus of dozens of experts on the matter.)

As these under-informed, angry constituents made their opinions known, many representatives saw the dark clouds of potential political defeat on the horizon. For over two hundred of our so-called leaders, this overshadowed all other considerations. Though the collapse of the national economy looms on that same horizon, far larger than any other issue, these people trained their binoculars on one thing only: political self-interest.

With this, we all lose. As Americans start to see the repercussions of our leaders’ choice of popularity over responsibility, we will most certainly find ourselves far angrier–and far less financially secure–than we were before the bill was put on the House floor.

A very large glass house

Every American who has taken on more than he or she could afford in a home loan, car loan, or personal loan is partly responsible for this. Every politician who supported reckless deregulation, or did not sound the alarm bell for better oversight, is partly responsible for this. Every man and woman on Wall Street who proceeded with abandon in taking on too much risk, and every company who insured those risks, is partly responsible for this.

Yet, Monday, we had one last chance. After years of collective carelessness and greed, both on Wall Street and Main Street, we had a chance to get out before things got really, really bad. The reality is, this was America’s golden parachute. But when it came time for our leaders to do exactly what they have been elected to do–lead us–more than half of them failed.

Shame on us, and shame on them.

 

See whose side your representatives are on:

<http://clerk.house.gov/evs/2008/roll674.xml>

 

 

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What John McCain’s VP choice really means

Analysis, Election 2008

I’ll admit it. When John McCain announced at the RNC that he had chosen Sarah Palin as his running mate, I got caught up in the excitement.

As I listened to her speech, I had a number of reactions. I was impressed at McCain’s boldness. I was proud to see a woman on the Republican presidential ticket for the first time in history. I was completely clueless about who this woman was.

The speech Sarah Palin delivered that day was many things: memorable, sarcastic, bold, mean, funny, and extraordinarily well-delivered. I think a lot of us found ourselves liking her, or at least rooting for her, either in spite of or in continuation of whatever other opinions we hold about this election.

The Learning Curve

Since that day at the RNC, we’ve learned a lot about Sarah Palin. And it hasn’t always been easy.

For the first few weeks after Palin’s selection, her public appearances were limited to numerous deliveries of the same speech, almost verbatim, that made her famous at the convention. We heard a lot about her “thanks, but no thanks, for that bridge to nowhere.” We hear about her taking on the good ol’ boys, and fighting earmarks.

It took a good couple of weeks to hear from an unscripted Sarah Palin. First, we saw her interview with ABC’s Charlie Gibson; next, with Sean Hannity of Fox News; last (to date), her interview with Katie Couric for CBS Nightly News.

As I’ve mentioned, part of me was rooting for this Alaskan governor who stepped on a stage and wowed us. (I say “part of me” because I had gotten a bit wary after learning more about Governor Palin’s positions on social issues like the environment, gay rights, and abortion.) Still, I genuinely like to see strong, savvy women take the world by storm.

However, as I watched John McCain’s running mate talk to Gibson, then Hannity, then Couric–all journalists known for being, shall we say, gentler interviewers than most–a single, prevailing impression dominated every other reaction I had to what I saw.

The conclusion I couldn’t help but arrive at, couldn’t believe I was arriving at, was this: John McCain can’t possibly have this country’s best interest at heart.

Country First

A Vice President has two primary responsibilities, as outlined in the United States Constitution. The first is to become President if the President becomes unable to serve; the second is to act as head of the U.S. Senate. It is by these standards that a potential Vice President should be judged.

One could make a number of arguments against Sarah Palin’s ability to preside over the Senate (namely, she has never served as a member of the Senate or the House). But that discussion is for a later time. Of much graver importance is the question of whether Sarah Palin is qualified to serve as President of the United States should John McCain be unable to complete his term. Even graver than that is the question of what this indicates about Senator McCain.

What we learned between the Republican National Convention and the interviews was that Sarah Palin had never met a foreign head of state. She did not obtain a passport or travel outside of North America until 2006. She attended five colleges as an undergraduate. Of course, these facts raised some eyebrows. They didn’t seem to reflect many of the traits we hope for in a leader: a wide swath of experience, a commitment to education, a desire to see the world, a history of building relationships with other world leaders. Still, we thought, maybe there’s an explanation. We’ll wait to hear from her.

Yet when Sarah Palin finally spoke without the aid of a teleprompter, we heard the voice of a person who lacks basic command of nearly every important issue–foreign policy, national security, the economy, and energy policy, to name a few.

Palin’s more disappointing moments, such as when the term “Bush Doctrine” seemed to stump her, or when she asserted that Alaska’s proximity to Russia lends her credence in foreign affairs, gained significant media attention. But just as revealing were her “better” moments. Even at her best, Sarah Palin demonstrated an amateur understanding of the issues. She was unable to offer a specific proposal or solution regarding any one of the numerous problems the inheritors of the White House will inevitably face. After her most recent interview, some Republican commentators began calling for her to bow out of the race before more damage could be done.

Judgment Matters

What baffles me is that some voters don’t see McCain’s choice as a game-changer. The logic is: if McCain wins the election, and is able to serve through his term, then his decision to make Sarah Palin second in command ceases to be a problem. Yet this logic is deeply flawed. Because, most essentially, this is not about Sarah Palin. This is about John McCain, and what his choice tells us about him.

John McCain chose as his running mate a person who draws a great deal of attention to his campaign, advances his maverick reputation, and, initially at least, seemed to have the potential to gain favor with women voters. In doing this, however, McCain also chose someone who has demonstrated on a number of occasions that she is fundamentally unqualified to lead this country. McCain made this decision voluntarily and in full knowledge of the fact that, if the worst-case scenario were to arise, his country would be left in the hands a person who is notably unequipped for the job.

Thus, on one side, there is the potential for great political gain for John McCain. On the other side, there is the potential for great national loss for all of us.

To be sure, every man or woman running for president makes decisions that are politically prudent. No one expects a politician to be apolitical. But there are occasions in which a politically advantageous choice is the same choice that has real potential to put our country into one of the most precarious, vulnerable positions it has ever been in. I don’t think my standards are too high if I expect that, on these occasions, a man deserving of the title of President of the United States should side with country.

Make no mistake: John McCain has most certainly put country first many times in his life. But this is not one of those times.

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